Arkansas Storm Team Weather Blog: Two Chances for Severe Storms

LITTLE ROCK, Ark. – Rain returns to the forecast on Monday, as does the risk of heavy to severe storms. The risk of severe weather is expected to arrive around dinner time Monday and through the first half of the day Tuesday.

RISKS: For Monday, much of western Arkansas is under a marginal (1/5) risk of severe weather. Extreme southwestern Arkansas is under slight risk (2/5). For storms developing Monday evening, the main threat will be damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph and quarter-size hail. The risk of a tornado for Monday evening is very low. The best chance for tornadoes will be to our west in Oklahoma and Texas.

For Tuesday, the risks remain very similar. The marginal risk zone (1/5) is moving eastward, with the slight risk zone (2/5) covering far eastern Arkansas to Mississippi. Devastating gusts of wind and quarter-sized hail remain the main threats. Tornado risk will be very low, with the best chance of a spin-up in Mississippi. The heaviest rains will occur in far western Arkansas, so a few areas may experience localized flooding.

Potential risks

HOURLY: The first chance of severe weather will arrive around sunset for central Arkansas. The storms will roll along a cold front moving across the state. The storms are expected to continue well into the morning hours Tuesday, in the second half of the day the storms will move across the state line into Mississippi.

Forecast tracking


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